• ABPNetwork-CVoter conducts the first opinion poll of India covering all five regions that go to polls in 2021
• As per the survey, TMC stands tall in West Bengal with 43.0% vote share, followed by BJP with 37.5% vote share
• ABPNetwork-CVoter has projected 41.1% vote share for UPA and 28.7% vote share for NDA in Tamil Nadu

ABP Network is the first media network to conduct an Opinion Poll Survey for all four states and a union territorythat go to polls in 2021 – West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala, and Puducherry. Conducted with research partner CVoter(Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), the opinion poll survey aims to provide a clearer picture of how the ballot game stands for the five states.

Last year, as the highly-dramatic Bihar Elections drew to a close, ABP Network’s Exit Poll was the only poll in the industry to hit the mark. It not only vindicated a prediction of a close fight, but also produced an accurate vote share projection.

What’s more is that, this Opinion Poll Survey marks the beginning of ABP Network’s reign in the southern region as the network is likely to soon catapult into the Tamil Nadu market. 

The ABPNetwork-CVoter survey revealed that as per public opinion, TMC is leading in West Bengal with 43.0% vote share (154 to 162 seats), whereas BJP stands second with 37.5% vote share (98 to 106 seats).

West Bengal	Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
TMC	44.9	43.0	-1.9
BJP	10.2	37.5	27.3
INC+LEFT	32.0	11.8	-20.2
Others	12.9	7.7	-5.2
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
West Bengal	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats	From	Seats	To
TMC	154	to	162
BJP	98	to	106
INC+LEFT	26	to	34
Others	2	to	6
Total	294

In Tamil Nadu, UPA is leading with 41.1% vote share (158 to 166seats), whereas NDA stands second with 28.7% vote share (60 to 68 Seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 15.7% vote share (0 to 4seats).

Tamil Nadu	Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	39.4	41.1	1.7
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	43.7	28.7	-15.0
MNM	0.0	6.7	6.7
AMMK	0.0	7.8	7.8
Others	16.9	15.7	-1.2
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
Tamil Nadu	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats	From	Seats	To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	158	to	166
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	60	to	68
MNM	0	to	4
AMMK	2	to	6
Others	0	to	4
Total	234

In Assam, NDA is leading with 43.1% vote share (73 to 81 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 34.9% vote share (36 to 44 Seats). Others grab the third spot with mere13.8% vote share (0 to 4 seats).

Assam	Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes : Assam	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
NDA	41.9	43.1	1.2
UPA	31.0	34.9	3.9
AIUDF	13.0	8.2	-4.8
Others	14.1	13.8	-0.3
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
Assam	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Assam	From	Seats	To
NDA	73	to	81
UPA	36	to	44
AIUDF	5	to	9
Others	0	to	4
Total	126

In Kerala, LDF is leading with 41.6% vote share (81to 89 seats), whereas UDF stands second with 34.6% vote share (49to 57 Seats). BJP grabs the third spot with mere 15.3% vote share (0 to 2seats).

Kerala	Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes : Kerala	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
LDF	43.5	41.6	-1.9
UDF	38.8	34.6	-4.2
BJP	14.9	15.3	0.4
Others	2.8	8.5	5.7
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
Kerala	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Kerala	From	Seats	To
LDF	81	to	89
UDF	49	to	57
BJP	0	to	2
Others	0	to	2
Total	140

In Puducherry, NDA is leading with 44.4% vote share (14 to 18seats), whereas SDA stands second with 42.6%vote share (12-16 seats). Others grab the third spot with mere 10.7% vote share (0 to 1 seat).

Puducherry	Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes : Puducherry	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
SDA (Congress+DMK)	39.5	42.6	3.1
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	30.5	44.4	13.9
MNM	0.0	2.3	2.3
Others	30.0	10.7	-19.3
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0
Puducherry	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Puducherry	From	Seats	To
SDA (Congress+DMK)	12	to	16
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	14	to	18
MNM	0	to	1
Others	0	to	1
Total	30

The past two years have certainly been action-packed as far as elections and shifts of power are concerned, but 2021 is going to be even more momentous. Key regions like Tamil Nadu in South and Assam in North-East will make the political battle all the more engrossing.

As for the methodology and survey details, theCVoter survey reached out to a total of approximately 5000+ people in  Assam, 6000+ people in Kerala, 1000+ people in Puducherry, 15000+ people in Tamil Nadu, 18000+ people in West Bengal, making it a total of 45000+ people. It was conducted through CATI (Telephonic survey).

About ABP Network

An innovative media and content creation company, ABP Network is a credible voice in the broadcast & digital sphere, with a multi-language portfolio of news channels reaching 535 million individuals in India. ABP Studios, which comes under the purview of ABP Creations – the content innovation arm of the network – creates, produces, and licenses original, path-breaking content outside of news. ABP Network is a group entity of ABP, which was incorporated almost 100 years ago and continues to reign as a leading Indian Media Conglomerate.