According to the India TV-CNX exit poll, which aired yesterday on the news channel, the Congress would emerge as the single largest party in the Karnataka assembly elections, earning 110 to 120 seats.

The party could win a commanding majority or fall a few seats short of the critical number.

According to exit poll seat forecasts, the Congress may win 110-120 seats in the 224-member legislature, the incumbent BJP may come in second with 80-90 seats, the Janata Dal (S) may win 20-24 seats, and ‘Others’ including independents may get 1-3 seats.

In the 2018 elections, BJP won 104, Congress won 80, JD(S) won 37, and ‘Others’ won three seats.

Vote share projections in the exit poll show: Congress may get 41.57 percent, BJP may get 35.61 percent, JD(S) 16.1 pc, and ‘Others’ may get 6.72 percent. In the 2018 elections, Congress got 38.04 pc, BJP got 36.22 pc, JD(S) 18.36 pc, and ‘Others’ got 7.38 pc votes.

Caste, community-wise vote share:

Caste and community-wise exit poll projections show Congress may get 72 pc of Kuruba votes, 19 percent of Lingayat votes, 22 pc Vokkaliga votes, 39 pc SC votes, 33 pc OBC votes, 43 pc ST votes, and a whopping 82 percent of Muslim votes.

On the other hand, BJP may get 14 pc Kuruba votes, a whopping 70 pc Lingayat votes, 17 pc Vokkaliga votes, 41 pc SC votes, 52 pc OBC votes, 34 pc ST votes, and only 2 percent Muslim votes. The projection shows JD(S) may get 53 percent of Vokkaliga votes.

Region-wise projections:

The India TV-CNX poll projections region-wise show, Congress may get 17 seats, BJP may get 14 seats, and JD(S) may get one seat in Greater Bangalore (total of 32 seats).

In Central Karnataka having a total of 21 seats, Congress may win 12, BJP may win 8 seats, and Others one seat.

In the Hyderabad Karnataka region, having a total of 40 seats, Congress may sweep by winning 29 seats, BJP may win nine, and JD(S) and Others may win one seat each.

In Old Mysuru having 62 seats, Congress may win 32 seats, JD(S) may win 20 seats, and BJP may win 10 seats.

In Coastal Karnataka having 19 seats, BJP may win 16 and the Congress may win only three seats.

In the Bombay Karnataka region having 50 seats, BJP may win 28 seats and Congress may win 22 seats.

The exit poll survey was carried out by CNX among 15,620 respondents (7,890 males and 7,730 females) in 142 out of a total of 224 seats.

Respondents were interviewed at 11 polling stations in every randomly selected assembly constituency. Ten respondents were selected randomly from each four selected polling stations.